Exactly when Apple will announce the next crop of iPhones hasn’t yet been revealed, but the iPhone 18 Pro release date seem to be edging into view. Here’s when the keynote looks set to happen, when the new phones will go on sale and, before all that, when Apple will finally confirm the date of its next special event.

Apple iPhone 18 Pro Release Date: Special Event Date

Every fall since 2011, without fail, even when Covid was knocking the world for six, Apple has announced its latest iPhones. It’s always happened in September — apart from the keynote for the iPhone 4S which came a little later, on Tuesday, Oct. 4, 2011.

Since then, the special event has been in the first half of September, again, without fail. It’s also never once fallen on the day after Labor Day, even though Tuesday is Apple’s favorite day of the week for its fall keynote (its chosen day in nine of the last 15 years).

“We are still waiting for Apple to announce the iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone Ultra event. In his newsletter last month, Bloomberg 's Mark Gurman said Sept. 8 or Sept. 9 are the most likely dates for the event,” explained Joe Rossignol at MacRumors .

Sorry to be nerdish about all this, but I’ve been doing some research. Since Labor Day this year is Monday, Sept. 7, I believe it won’t fall on Tuesday, Sept. 8.

I could be wrong, of course, but honestly, I don’t think so. It would be breaking a rule that Apple has strenuously observed, that to ask its staff to work on the Labor Day holiday or for its special guests and members of the press to fly on a national holiday is beyond the pale.

As such, Sept. 9 is, I’m convinced, the only day worth considering.

Apple iPhone 18 Pro Release Date: Keynote Announcement Date

Talking of research, Rossignol has done some of his own, studying exactly how far in advance of the keynote Apple announces the date. It turns out that in that Covid year, 2020, and the following one, Apple announced its special event seven days before it took place.

However, since then, the announcement has been earlier, exactly 14 days before the keynote. For instance, in 2024, the announcement came on Monday, Aug. 26 and the keynote on Monday, Sept. 9. Last year, a Tuesday, Aug. 26 announcement confirmed a Tuesday, Sept. 9 keynote.

Are you spotting a pattern here? I believe the next keynote will be announced on Wednesday, Aug. 26, with the special event taking place on Wednesday, Sept. 9.

Apple iPhone 18 Pro Release Date: Onsale Date

Once the keynote has taken place, the iPhone 18 Pro release date, which will also be for the iPhone 18 Pro Max, should be on Friday, Sept. 18. Assuming the first iPhone foldable is also announced, it may go on sale on the same date, or follow later.